Samaje Perine Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
Samaje Perine has been among the top RBs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.86 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 90th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.12 yards-per-carry.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the worst group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Samaje Perine has averaged a measly 11.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among running backs (21st percentile).
The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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