Samaje Perine Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 2:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Samaje Perine has been among the top RBs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.96 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 91st percentile.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most yards in the league (130 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 4th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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