Samaje Perine Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Samaje Perine has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (26.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (12.4%).
Samaje Perine has run for quite a few more yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).
The Buffalo Bills safeties project as the 29th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in run blocking.
Opposing squads have run for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 96 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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