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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Samaje Perine has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (26.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (12.4%).
  • Samaje Perine has run for quite a few more yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).
  • The Buffalo Bills safeties project as the 29th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in run blocking.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 96 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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