Samaje Perine Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+120/-159).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to accumulate 13.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (57.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.9% in games he has played).
Samaje Perine has been among the leading running backs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.36 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 6th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have run for the least yards in football (just 79 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.