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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Samaje Perine Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+166/-236).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -231 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -236.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to be a more important option in his team's run game near the end zone this week (57.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.3% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 39.4% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Samaje Perine has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in football among RBs (1st percentile).

Opposing squads have rushed for the least touchdowns in football (0.20 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

The Tennessee Titans defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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