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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-102/-128).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • The Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.
  • At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Samaje Perine's 11.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 17.0.
  • Samaje Perine's 1.7 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a noteable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 2.9 rate.
  • Samaje Perine's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 94.4% to 78.5%.

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