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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.

When talking about air yards, Samaje Perine grades out in the lofty 80th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a whopping 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

With an impressive 9.0 adjusted yards per target (87th percentile) this year, Samaje Perine places among the leading pass-catching running backs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Samaje Perine has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game this season (5.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.4%).

Samaje Perine's 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a significant diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 27.0 rate.

Samaje Perine's 83.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 94.4% mark.

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