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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 66.7% pass rate.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

The predictive model expects Samaje Perine to earn 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are a heavy favorite by 8 points.

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).

Samaje Perine's 7.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 17.0.

Samaje Perine has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).

More Samaje Perine Player Props

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