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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.7 per game) since the start of last season.

In this game, Samaje Perine is projected by the projection model to slot into the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.2 targets.

Samaje Perine has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Samaje Perine's 83.3% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 94.4% mark.

Samaje Perine's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, totaling a measly 4.23 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.54 mark last year.

The Chargers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus running backs this year, surrendering 3.68 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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