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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

In regards to air yards, Samaje Perine grades out in the towering 78th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 1.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Samaje Perine has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this season (5.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.4%).

Samaje Perine's 16.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 27.0 figure.

Samaje Perine's 82.3% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects an impressive reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 94.4% rate.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Samaje Perine Player Props

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