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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.

In regards to air yards, Samaje Perine grades out in the lofty 85th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a colossal 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

This year, the shaky Carolina Panthers defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a staggering 7.34 yards.

The Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

Samaje Perine's 11.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 17.0.

Samaje Perine has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).

Samaje Perine's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 94.4% to 78.5%.

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