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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.6% pass rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the model to call 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chiefs this year (a whopping 61.0 per game on average).

Samaje Perine has posted a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Samaje Perine's 10.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 17.0.

Samaje Perine has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).

Samaje Perine's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 94.4% to 82.3%.

The Broncos pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.37 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-fewest in football.

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