Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 13, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
Samaje Perine's 47.1% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a a noteable gain in his passing offense usage over last year's 35.5% mark.
The leading projections forecast Samaje Perine to earn 3.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Samaje Perine's 34.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a a material improvement in his receiving talent over last season's 18.0 rate.
Samaje Perine's 93.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a a noteworthy improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 81.4% figure.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 18.0) to running backs this year.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Kansas City's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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