Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Samaje Perine has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (45.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (35.5%).
The projections expect Samaje Perine to earn 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Samaje Perine has been among the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 19.0 yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Samaje Perine's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 81.4% to 90.0%.
Samaje Perine's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this season, compiling 7.64 yards-per-target vs a measly 6.23 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Samaje Perine has put up a puny -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 21st percentile among RBs.

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