Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to earn 3.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine has been among the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 20.0 yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.
Samaje Perine's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 81.4% to 100.0%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.26 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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