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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Jarrett Stidham in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.

The projections expect Samaje Perine to accumulate 3.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

Samaje Perine's 17.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 12.2.

The Denver offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Broncos, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 54.2 per game on average).

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