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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Samaje Perine's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 12.2.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in football this year.

Samaje Perine's 28.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a meaningful gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 18.0 figure.

Samaje Perine's 95.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a significant progression in his receiving ability over last season's 81.4% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 124.4 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).

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