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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point uptick in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Samaje Perine has been more prominently featured in his team's passing attack.

Samaje Perine's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year represents a significant improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 18.0 rate.

Samaje Perine's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 81.4% to 91.4%.

Samaje Perine's 9.8 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a meaningful progression in his receiving ability over last year's 6.2 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive scheme to skew 1.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 57.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 60.8 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 52.2 per game on average).

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.6 per game) this year.

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