Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Samaje Perine has accumulated a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Samaje Perine has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a terrific 90.2% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the league since the start of last season.