Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-109/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
Samaje Perine has notched a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Samaje Perine has compiled a lot more receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).
Samaje Perine has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among running backs, completing an impressive 87.1% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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