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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Samaje Perine has compiled a monstrous 6.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Samaje Perine has compiled significantly more receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

Samaje Perine's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this season, totaling 7.89 yards-per-target vs a mere 6.68 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Samaje Perine's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 87.6% to 84.6%.

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