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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • Samaje Perine has put up far more air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (0.0 per game).
  • Samaje Perine has been among the most effective receivers in football among running backs, averaging an impressive 6.96 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Samaje Perine's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 87.5% to 76.4%.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in football.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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