Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 6:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-149/+109).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Samaje Perine has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 8.3% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

Samaje Perine has accrued a paltry -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 22nd percentile among RBs.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. running backs this year, surrendering 5.23 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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