Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Samaje Perine has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 8.3% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine has totaled substantially more receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).
Samaje Perine's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this season, averaging 8.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 6.13 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Samaje Perine has notched a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 22nd percentile among RBs.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the league.

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