Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 3, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to accumulate 2.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Samaje Perine has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 8.7% this year, which ranks him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Samaje Perine has compiled a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 84.2% to 81.2%.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against running backs this year, giving up 5.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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