Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Samaje Perine has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 8.8% this year, which places him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine has accrued quite a few more receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).
Samaje Perine's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten better this season, accumulating 8.97 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 6.13 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Samaje Perine has totaled a meager -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among RBs.
The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (76.4%) vs. RBs this year (76.4%).

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