Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 67.2% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to accrue 2.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 9.3% this year, which places him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine has put up significantly more receiving yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Samaje Perine has posted a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile among running backs.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against RBs this year, giving up 5.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.

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