Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 66.8% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Samaje Perine has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a terrific 86.4% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a huge 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Samaje Perine's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, accumulating a mere 5.88 yards-per-target compared to a 6.68 rate last year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 29.0) to RBs this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (73.3%) versus running backs this year (73.3%).

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