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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to accumulate 15.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (69.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (19.9% in games he has played).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 34.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 7th-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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