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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers

Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-146).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, Sam LaPorta is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.4 targets.

With a remarkable 22.5% Target% (98th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.2 per game) this year.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 10th-best in football.

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