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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Sam LaPorta to accumulate 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Sam LaPorta has been among the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, hauling in an impressive 100.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 100th percentile.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (68.5%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (68.5%).

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