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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.

While Sam LaPorta has garnered 11.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Detroit's pass game in this game at 17.8%.

Sam LaPorta's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 71.7% to 96.5%.

Sam LaPorta's 12.5 adjusted yards per target this year signifies an impressive progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 7.1 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 53.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.

Sam LaPorta has accrued far fewer air yards this season (17.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).

Sam LaPorta has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

More Sam LaPorta Player Props

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