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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

In this week's game, Sam LaPorta is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.1 targets.

The predictive model expects Sam LaPorta to be much more involved in his offense's pass game in this game (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).

Sam LaPorta's 93.9% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a material boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 71.7% rate.

Sam LaPorta's 13.3 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.1 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are an enormous 12.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The projections expect the Lions as the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.0 per game) this year.

After totaling 53.0 air yards per game last season, Sam LaPorta has been a disappointment this season, now pacing 18.0 per game.

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