Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Sam LaPorta

NFL · Player Props

Sam LaPorta

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.1 targets.
With an impressive 22.6% Target% (98th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta places as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.
As it relates to air yards, Sam LaPorta grades out in the towering 96th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a massive 51.0 per game.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Lions offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.64 seconds per snap.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends this year, surrendering 4.18 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.
This year, the stout Ravens pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing TEs: a meager 3.1 YAC.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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