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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to garner 6.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • With a high 21.2% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • When talking about air yards, Sam LaPorta grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating a massive 42.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus tight ends this year, surrendering 5.10 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

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