Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Sam LaPorta

NFL · Player Props

Sam LaPorta

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.7 targets.
Sam LaPorta has compiled a colossal 54.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among tight ends.
Sam LaPorta slots into the 96th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with a massive 45.9 figure this year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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