My Account Log Out
 
Sam Howell
NFL · Player Props
Sam Howell
QB · Washington Commanders
TD Passes
Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 6, 2023 3:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Sam Howell TD Passes

Sam Howell TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -146.

Favors Over
  • The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 11.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 65.4% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest rate in the NFL against the Bears defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Chicago Bears defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most passing touchdowns in the league: 2.50 per game this year.
Favors Under
  • The Commanders are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 121.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's contest, Sam Howell is anticipated by the projections to have the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.0.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bears, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.
More Sam Howell Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow