My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam Howell

Sam Howell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

Sam Howell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an outstanding total of 4.00 yards-after-contact (100th percentile), Sam Howell ranks among the best rushing QBs in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 13.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.

In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year.

The New England Patriots defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.78 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

More Sam Howell Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™