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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Sam Howell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Sam Howell ranks as one of the best QBs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an outstanding 4.05 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 13.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 33.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In regards to blocking for rushers (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year.

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