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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Sam Howell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Sam Howell isn't afraid to run the ball himself, comprising 13.9% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • With an impressive total of 6.3 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (89th percentile), Sam Howell has been among the leading rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.
  • Sam Howell is positioned as one of the best quarterbacks in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 4.68 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to run on 33.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
  • The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

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