My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam Howell

Sam Howell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

Sam Howell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Sam Howell's running efficiency (6.47 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (93rd percentile among quarterbacks).

With a fantastic tally of 4.31 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Sam Howell places among the leading running QBs in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 12.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Commanders, who are heavy -8.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 32.4% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Right now, the 9th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.

More Sam Howell Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™