Sam Howell Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Howell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 66.2% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
This week, Sam Howell is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the most pass attempts among all QBs with 39.7.
The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.
Sam Howell checks in as one of the best passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 270.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
This year, the imposing Rams defense has surrendered a puny 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-best rate in the league.
This year, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to the opposing side: a meager 7.0 yards.

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