Sam Howell Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Pass Attempts

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Howell Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive approach to tilt 13.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
In racking up a whopping 37.8 pass attempts per game this year, Sam Howell slots in among the top quarterbacks in the league (87th percentile) by this metric.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Commanders to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.5 per game) this year.

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