Sam Howell Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Pass Attempts

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Sam Howell Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Commanders offensive approach to lean 12.6% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects the Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Sam Howell to throw 36.6 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

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