Sam Howell Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Pass Attempts

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Sam Howell Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.73 seconds per snap.

Favors Under

The Commanders are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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