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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders

Sam Howell Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 9.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Commanders are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.3 plays per game.

The Denver Broncos cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 9th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Sam Howell has been among the least accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a 56.9% Completion%, checking in at the 15th percentile.

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