Sam Howell Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Completions

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Howell Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-134/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 66.2% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
This week, Sam Howell is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the most pass attempts among all QBs with 39.7.
The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
This year, the imposing Rams defense has surrendered a puny 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-best rate in the league.

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