Sam Howell Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Howell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Commanders offensive approach to lean 12.6% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
The model projects the Washington Commanders as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 35.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year.

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