Sam Howell Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Howell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Sam Howell isn't afraid to run the ball himself, comprising 13.9% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to run on 33.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

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