Sam Howell Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Howell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Seattle's safety corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 35.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The Washington O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.

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